California – Study: 99 Percent Probability Of Los Angeles-area Quake

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    FILE - Security guard Eric Alejandro cordons off an earthquake damaged area in downtown Calexico California following a 7.2 magnitude earthquake April 5, 2010.  ReutersLos Angeles, CA – A study by NASA and university researchers finds there’s a 99.9 percent probability of a magnitude-5 or greater earthquake within three years in an area of greater Los Angeles where a moderate temblor occurred last year.

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    The study released Tuesday is based on measurements of how the Earth’s crust was deformed by a magnitude-5.1 quake on March 28, 2014, in La Habra, California, about 20 miles southeast of downtown Los Angeles.

    The U.S. Geological Survey has done its own analysis and pegs the probability at 85 percent.

    The probability applies to a 62-mile radius around the La Habra epicenter. In the NASA study, scientists calculated how much strain may remain locked in faults, and they estimated a potential for a quake up to magnitude 6.3.

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    3 Comments
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    mugsisme
    mugsisme
    10 years ago

    Since I was a little girl back in the early 70s they’ve been saying the big quake is coming.
    Maybe with all the toeva stuff going on there, it will finally happen.

    10 years ago

    I don’t get out of bed for a 5. If you would say “99% chance of a 7”, then I would pay attention. A 5 is a baby quake- just enough for us to restock our water that doesn’t get used :).

    10 years ago

    Whole lotta shakin’ goin’ on!