JERUSALEM (VINnews) — Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Defense Minister Israel Katz, and senior security officials will convene on Saturday night for a limited meeting in the underground command bunker at the Kirya in Tel Aviv, amid a growing sense of optimism among decision-makers.
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Behind closed doors, discussions are no longer focusing only on deterrence or damaging military capabilities, but on a broader strategic goal: bringing the Iranian regime to a breaking point. This was reported this evening for the first time on the weekend news broadcast of Channel 12 News (Israel).
In Israel there is now an understanding that toppling the regime in Tehran is no longer merely a theoretical possibility, but a scenario being seriously considered.
“We are optimistic about the ability to bring the regime to a point of collapse,” senior security officials said in private conversations. According to them, the Iranian regime is “being hunted every day” and is gradually weakening.
Israeli sources also clarified in conversations with Channel 12 that, unlike previous conflicts, this time there is no political “hourglass” or defined deadline for ending the campaign. Coordination with the American administration, according to those sources, is based on a simple formula: as long as the price on the Israeli home front remains low and there are no American casualties in the region, Israel and the United States will continue their operations.
In Israel it is estimated that the collapse of the regime, even if it does not appear immediate, could occur through a “domino effect” scenario. According to the assessment, once the pressure on Tehran reaches its peak, the fall of the Ayatollahs’ rule could happen quickly.
Meanwhile, senior Israeli officials believe that the missile attack toward the airport in Dubai, following remarks by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, reflects internal cracks within Tehran’s decision-making centers. This was reported by Kan 11.
Pezeshkian said earlier that “Iran seeks to maintain friendly relations with the countries of the region.” However, according to Israeli assessments, there is a gap between the political leadership, which is trying to reduce or even prevent attacks on regional countries, and elements within the Iranian military that continue to carry out the launches.
According to sources familiar with the matter, these internal cracks are also reflected in chaos in the streets, the evacuation of the capital Tehran, failure to meet expectations regarding Iran’s missile launch capabilities, and a lack of coordination in the country’s decision-making processes.
However, according to the report on Kan 11, Israel estimates that a real change in the rule of the Ayatollahs could take a long time, and will also depend on the actions taken by Israel and the United States in the coming period.
the Iran air force and missiles might be destroyed and many public buildings but the regime is still in control. No real on the ground opposition,
Regardless of what Trump or Netanyahu say, there are currently no clear signs of an imminent collapse of the Iranian regime.
Iran has a population of roughly 90–100 million people, a large internal security apparatus (IRGC, Basij, and police), and decades of experience suppressing unrest. Historically, regimes like this rarely collapse simply from external military pressure unless there is sustained internal uprising, elite defections, or economic collapse severe enough to break state control.
So far we have not seen mass nationwide protests, large-scale defections within the military, or an alternative leadership emerging. Without those factors, talk of a near-term regime collapse is more speculation than reality.